Prediction-Market Performance
The treasury's Polymarket strategy. Deposited cash and funded capital are shown as Verified when confirmed from deposit and account evidence, while open positions, position value, realized and unrealized P&L, and trade activity are shown as Live when retrieved automatically from Polymarket.
Live in production. Deposited cash and funded capital are shown as Verified when confirmed from deposit and account evidence. Open positions, position value, realized and unrealized P&L, and trade activity are pulled Live from the Polymarket data API for the VigorishVault account — and show Unavailable if the feed ever fails, never a fabricated value.
Verified cumulative deposited capital — the performance baseline.
Total Polymarket NAV — current cash balance plus open-position value.
Lifetime booked/realized P&L from settled, redeemed, or closed Polymarket positions. Open-position mark-to-market is reported separately as Unrealized P&L.
Open-position mark-to-market.
Realized P&L ($4,605.37) ÷ starting capital ($4,500.00).
Building from hourly snapshots — a full-day figure appears after ~24h.
Verified deposited-capital baseline — not current spendable cash.
Uninvested pUSD collateral in the Polymarket proxy wallet, read on-chain (Polygon).
Polymarket Performance
Live strategy metrics, derived directly from the Polymarket feed
Active Positions
1 open market
| Market | Side | Cost Basis | Current Value | Unrealized P&L | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5) 16,030.62 shares · 61.8¢ → 55.5¢ | Indiana | $9,898.91 | $8,896.99 | −$1,002.98 | -10.1% |
Closed Trades
Settled round-trip trades — cost, proceeds, and realized P&L
Closed-trade history pending
A verifiable per-trade closed-history reconstruction (cost, proceeds, realized P&L) is not available from the public Polymarket feed. Realized P&L above is authoritative; individual closed-trade rows are shown here only when reliable round-trip data is available — never inferred.
Account Activity Log
Raw on-chain Polymarket activity (buys, sells, redemptions)
| Time | Action | Market | Size (USDC) | Price | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 03:44 PM UTC | BUY | Spread: Ohio State (-4.5) Indiana | $3,438.79 | 62.0¢ | View |
| Oct 17, 03:39 PM UTC | BUY | Spread: Ohio State (-4.5) Indiana | $6,574.79 | 61.6¢ | View |
| Oct 17, 03:39 AM UTC | REDEEM | Spread: Coastal Carolina (-4.5) AND Spread: Memphis (-7.5) | $2,557.21 | — | View |
| Oct 17, 03:23 AM UTC | REDEEM | Spread: Memphis (-7.5) Tulane | $7,474.38 | — | View |
| Oct 17, 12:10 AM UTC | TAKER_REBATE | Untitled market | $1.64 | — | View |
| Oct 16, 11:04 PM UTC | BUY | Spread: Memphis (-7.5) Tulane | $1,012.70 | 57.7¢ | View |
| Oct 16, 11:03 PM UTC | BUY | Spread: Coastal Carolina (-4.5) AND Spread: Memphis (-7.5) | $1,000.00 | 37.9¢ | View |
| Oct 16, 11:01 PM UTC | BUY | Spread: Memphis (-7.5) Tulane | $3,342.08 | 57.5¢ | View |
| Oct 16, 12:10 AM UTC | TAKER_REBATE | Untitled market | $10.00 | — | View |
| Oct 16, 12:10 AM UTC | TAKER_REBATE | Untitled market | $2.15 | — | View |
| Oct 15, 11:57 PM UTC | BUY | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | $2,500.00 | 42.8¢ | View |
| Oct 15, 11:50 PM UTC | BUY | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers | $3,571.75 | 59.0¢ | View |
| Oct 15, 03:46 AM UTC | REDEEM | Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston Western Kentucky | $5,769.23 | — | View |
| Oct 15, 02:14 AM UTC | REDEEM | Nets vs. Heat: O/U 230.5 Over | $877.19 | — | View |
| Oct 14, 10:44 PM UTC | BUY | Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston Western Kentucky | $507.20 | 52.0¢ | View |
| Oct 14, 10:43 PM UTC | BUY | Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston Western Kentucky | $2,536.00 | 52.0¢ | View |
| Oct 14, 08:15 PM UTC | BUY | Nets vs. Heat: O/U 230.5 Over | $510.75 | 57.0¢ | View |
| Oct 14, 08:14 PM UTC | BUY | Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5 Over | $511.20 | 55.2¢ | View |
| Oct 14, 02:43 AM UTC | REDEEM | Penguins vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5 Over | $2,330.86 | — | View |
| Oct 13, 10:59 PM UTC | BUY | Penguins vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5 Over | $1,494.78 | 63.0¢ | View |